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Notes & analysis

Research on macroeconomics, markets and structural themes — written against consensus, not for it.

01

COMMODITIESSep 2026

The Next AI Winners Aren't Tech Companies — They're Uranium & Copper

The AI trade has been all about chips, models and hyperscaler capex. But the real bottleneck — and the real winners — may sit upstream, in the uranium and copper needed to power it all.

12 min

02

ENERGYAug 2026

Can Crude Oil Trigger the AI Bubble Pop?

I know the title sounds provocative. That's intentional. Hear me out. Once we connect the dots, I think the argument becomes much more compelling. The AI boom has been one of the defining investment stories of the past few years.

14 min

03

JAPANSep 2026

Oil Is Rising. Japan Could Make It Worse.

A follow-up to “Can Crude Oil Trigger the AI Bubble Pop?” My previous article looked at how a prolonged oil shock could threaten the AI boom through inflation and higher interest rates. But there is another domino that I think investors should be watching closely: Japan.

12 min

04

COMMODITIESSep 2026

Can Gold Reach $10,000 in This Gold Bull Rally?

Gold has broken out of a multi-year base. What would it take for the next leg to reach five figures, and why the move may not be what consensus expects.

11 min

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